But what the model really likes is the rotation. 8,128 plate appearances. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. Many thought they'd be that bad last year and they won 74 games. A complete list of this year's voters: . The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. By Dom Luszczyszyn. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Projected AL East Standings: 1. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. AL EAST. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. Is the NL West a two- or three-team race? Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. MLB Spring Training Standings 2023. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Bo Bichette is talented enough to take another step forward and join Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. as an MVP contender. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. The . See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. . Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. Key player: Luis Robert. USA TODAY. The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. Rather astounding. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Standings. However, this is still a loaded team. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. C'mon Rocks! I don't know why, though. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. March 1st, 2023. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. And I'd win the under. All Rights Reserved. AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. They'll have thump. You famously cannot predict baseball. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. Joey Votto continues to produce at a star talent, but heading into his age 38 campaign, the model expects some regression to take a toll. mlb preview 2022. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. The bullpen lost Jansen, but added Craig Kimbrel to go along with Blake Treinen and Brusdar Graterol. The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. As for the Royals, 2022 is centered Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . New York Mets. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. You can do it! It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. It's been more than a decade since the Phillies made the playoffs but with Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber on board, this may be the best all-around team they've put together in recent years Credit to the Marlins for spending some money on Avisail Garcia ($53 million) and Jorge Soler ($36 million). The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. Weak offense. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. 1 overall spot in the AL. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. AL Central predictions. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. All Rights Reserved. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. There were three last season. While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. 3. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Chicago White Sox. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. We also like Clevelands pitching. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. 1. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. FanGraphs Membership. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. For now, with everyone healthy, this looks like a Wild Card team that doesnt reach the ALDS. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. Arizona also has to be relieved the DH is now in the league so it can give young slugger Seth Beer a way to consistently fit in the lineup. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. Corey Kluber is 36. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. Dropping $500 million on a new middle infield (Corey Seager and Marcus Semien)got plenty of attention for the Rangers An ongoing clearance sale has the Athletics expected to finish last,but Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas give Oakland a little bit of upward mobility if they don't get shipped off, too. If I believe the Dodgers end the regular season with the most wins, I like my chances for hitting the over here. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. O/U wins: 91.5. . But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner.
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